近距离内射合集

New Mexico鈥檚 increasingly erratic weather, from intense monsoon bursts to dwindling snowpack and deepening drought, reflects long鈥憇tanding climate projections for the Southwest, according to Zeljka Stone, director of the Climate and Weather Consortium at New Mexico Tech.

Stone said climate models have warned for decades that the region would become warmer and drier, and recent conditions show those predictions unfolding across the state.

鈥淔or pretty much a couple of decades, we have been warning that this is a scenario that鈥檚 going to come to play, and it鈥檚 heartbreaking to see it happen,鈥� Stone said in a recent interview.

She noted that climate change must be understood as a long鈥憈erm process, not a single wet monsoon or snowy winter. Even strong seasonal precipitation does not reverse the broader warming trend.

鈥淚t is difficult to talk about global warming in terms of single years, since climate scientists focus on systematic changes over multiple years,鈥� Stone said. Temperature fluctuations are normal, she added, but they now occur on top of a higher baseline, making extremes more severe.

Stone explained that as average global temperatures rise, the Southwest鈥檚 baseline temperature rises with it.

鈥淭he baseline is not 70 degrees anymore 鈥� it鈥檚 72,鈥� she said. 鈥淎nd when fluctuations happen around 72 instead of 70, they鈥檙e going to be more extreme.鈥�

Climate models, run in large ensembles over decades, consistently show the Southwest trending toward higher temperatures, reduced snowpack and more severe drought cycles, Stone said.

Even when winter storms deliver heavy snowfall, Stone said warming disrupts the timing that historically sustained rivers and reservoirs.

鈥淵ou can get lots of snow, but if you get it at the wrong time of year and it melts too early, you鈥檙e in drought again by spring,鈥� she said.

Stone cautioned that a single wet summer does not signal recovery.

鈥淚n the long run, it doesn鈥檛 really matter,鈥� she said. 鈥淲e鈥檙e still not going to get as much snow as we used to, and we鈥檙e going to be in more droughts than we have been.鈥�

Stone said scientists are now certain the warming trend is human鈥慸riven, citing decades of independent research.

鈥淭hree years later, we are 100% sure. Math doesn鈥檛 lie,鈥� she said.

She argued that meaningful climate action must come from large鈥憇cale policy and corporate responsibility, not just individual choices.

鈥淚t鈥檚 not enough to say, 鈥業鈥檒l put solar panels on my roof,鈥欌�� she said. 鈥淲hat really needs to happen is awareness that politicians must put responsibility on the big guys.鈥�

Stone pointed to past successes, such as global action to repair the ozone layer, as evidence that coordinated policy can work.

New Mexico, she said, is not adequately preparing for the impacts already unfolding. Farmers and ranchers bear the brunt of water shortages while large corporations remain insulated.

鈥淎ll the consequences of this drought are currently on farmers and ranchers,鈥� she said. 鈥淭hey haven鈥檛 irrigated since June.鈥�

Stone also raised concerns about proposed data centers in desert regions, which require large amounts of water and energy.

鈥淭hey like the lack of moisture because evaporative cooling works better,鈥� she said. 鈥淏ut they鈥檙e doing this in the desert where there is no water.鈥�

Despite the challenges, Stone said she remains optimistic.

鈥淭he human race, when faced with a big catastrophe, can get together and change things for the better,鈥� she said.

The El Defensor Chieftain in Socorro is a sister newspaper of the Journal.