NEWS
Journal Poll: Lujan Grisham nearing end of tenure with steady 46% approval rate
Broad support among Democratic voters key to keeping governor's rating from eroding
SANTA FE 鈥 Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham鈥檚 seven-plus years as New Mexico governor haven鈥檛 been free of turbulence, but she鈥檚 set to leave office at the end of this year with a higher approval rating than her recent predecessors.
About 46% of likely New Mexico voters surveyed in a new Journal Poll said they approved of the job Lujan Grisham was doing as governor, while 43% expressed disapproval of her job performance.
The two-term Democratic governor had a similar approval rating 鈥 of 45% 鈥 in September 2024, after hitting a high of 59% approval during the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic in September 2020.
The three New Mexico governors who served before Lujan Grisham 鈥 Democrat Bill Richardson and Republicans Gary Johnson and Susana Martinez 鈥 all saw their favorability ratings plummet during their final years in office.
For instance, Martinez, who was governor immediately before Lujan Grisham, had a 35% approval rating just months before she left office in 2018.
While some of the approval rating declines have been due to scandals and budget downturns, many voters simply tire of governors after two terms, said Brian Sanderoff, the president of Albuquerque-based Research & Polling Inc., which conducted the poll.
鈥淚n these days, it鈥檚 hard to maintain popularity,鈥 Sanderoff said.
In Lujan Grisham鈥檚 case, the outgoing governor has been buoyed by strong support among Democratic voters.
After nearly eight years in office, 78% of Democratic voters surveyed said they still approved of Lujan Grisham鈥檚 job performance, while just 13% expressed disapproval, the Journal Poll found. In contrast, 81% of Republicans said they did not approve of the governor鈥 job performance, while only 10% of GOP voters expressed approval. Independent voters were almost evenly divided.
鈥淪he鈥檚 going to leave office being a very popular governor among Democrats and very unpopular among Republicans,鈥 Sanderoff said.
The partisan divide could be largely due to Lujan Grisham鈥檚 push to make New Mexico a safe haven for women seeking an abortion and other reproductive rights, along with her efforts to impose new restrictions on firearms in the state.
She has also won approval of several high-profile initiatives funded largely by the state鈥檚 oil-fueled revenue windfall, including a first-of-its-kind universal child care initiative and state-subsidized school meals for all K-12 public school students.
The governor has taken a more moderate approach to crime-related issues, especially after winning reelection in 2022. But her push to more aggressively confront homelessness and juvenile crime has been largely thwarted by the Democratic-controlled Legislature.
Regional variances in views of governor
Perhaps unsurprisingly given New Mexico鈥檚 recent political trends, Lujan Grisham鈥檚 approval rating also features an urban-rural divide.
Voters in the Albuquerque metro area and in north central New Mexico, which includes the governor鈥檚 hometown of Santa Fe, were significantly more likely to express support for Lujan Grisham鈥檚 job performance than were voters in other parts of the state.
Meanwhile, Hispanic voters were more likely to express support for Lujan Grisham鈥檚 job performance than were Anglo voters, while the governor also received higher marks from female voters than men.
Overall, the governor鈥檚 narrowly net-positive approval rating 鈥 of 3 percentage points 鈥 likely means she won鈥檛 drag down Democrats鈥 hopes of retaining control of the Governor鈥檚 Office during this year鈥檚 election cycle, Sanderoff said.
That wasn鈥檛 the case in 2010, when Martinez was elected governor after linking her Democratic general election opponent, Diane Denish, to the ethics scandals that had forced Richardson to withdraw from a possible Cabinet post in President Barack Obama鈥檚 administration.
Methodology
The Journal Poll was conducted from Aug. 21 through Aug. 28. It is based on a statewide random sample of 516 voters who cast ballots in the 2022 and/or 2024 general elections, and a sample of adults who registered to vote since January 2025 and who said they are likely to vote in the upcoming election.
The total sample of 516 voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percentage points. The margin of error grows for subsamples.
The sample was stratified by race/ethnicity and county and weighted by party affiliation, gender and education level based on traditional voting patterns in New Mexico general elections, to ensure a more representative sample.
All interviews were conducted by live, professional interviewers based in Albuquerque, with multiple callbacks to households that did not initially answer the phone.
Both cellphone numbers (96%) and landlines (4%) of likely general election voters were used.
Dan Boyd covers state government and politics for the Journal in Santa Fe. Follow him on X at @DanBoydNM or reach him via email at dboyd@abqjournal.com.
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