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SANTA FE 鈥� New Mexico voters have never fully embraced Donald Trump, but the president鈥檚 approval rating in the state has hit new lows as he nears the midway point of his second term.

Just 32% of likely voters surveyed in a new Journal Poll said they approve of the job Trump is doing as president, while 61% expressed disapproval.

An overwhelming majority of Democrats 鈥� roughly 93% of those surveyed 鈥� said they did not approve of Trump鈥檚 job performance, while 72% of independent voters also expressed disapproval. In contrast, only 18% of independents gave the president a thumbs up.

Among Republicans, 72% said they approved of Trump鈥檚 performance as president, while 16% expressed disapproval. The remaining Republicans surveyed were undecided or would not share their assessment.

While still representing strong support of GOP voters, that figure could show some concerns among Republican voters about Trump鈥檚 handling of the economy and the U.S.-Iran war, said Brian Sanderoff, the president of Albuquerque-based Research & Polling Inc., which conducted the poll.

鈥淭he halo is not shining as brightly even among Republicans,鈥� Sanderoff said.

The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has led to stubbornly high gas prices in New Mexico and around the nation. The price hike has prompted a political debate at the Roundhouse, as commuters are having to pay more at the pump even as the state is on track for an eye-opening revenue windfall. 

Meanwhile, Trump鈥檚 approval rating has also  amid trade wars with other countries and high everyday costs for consumers.

Sanderoff said that since New Mexico has become a blue-leaning state, the Republican president鈥檚 approval rating tends to be a few points lower here in comparison to his national average job performance rating.

Trump, who is in his second stint in the White House, has lost in New Mexico in all three of his campaigns for president 鈥� in 2016, 2020 and 2024 鈥� despite holding several campaign stops in the state.

His current approval rating is lower than his 39% approval rating in New Mexico in September 2020, just two months before he was defeated by former President Joe Biden in that year鈥檚 election.

But Trump made inroads in the state in the 2024 election, compared to previous cycles, losing to Democrat Kamala Harris by 6 percentage points after gaining more support in counties with large Native American and Hispanic populations. 

The new Journal Poll found those electoral gains have largely evaporated, however, as 65% of Hispanic voters surveyed said they disapproved of Trump鈥檚 performance as president. Just 27% of Hispanic voters expressed approval. 

Voter views vary by age, region

New Mexico voters鈥� views of Trump鈥檚 job performance varied by voters鈥� age, among other factors.

Among voters under age 50, only 23% expressed approval of Trump鈥檚 handling of the presidency, while 66% expressed disapproval.

Older voters, in contrast, were more likely to support Trump鈥檚 job performance, as 38% of voters age 50 or older approved of his job performance and 58% said they did not approve.

鈥淗e鈥檚 still doing better among the groups he鈥檚 always done better with,鈥� said Sanderoff, referring specifically to Republican voters, voters without a college degree and men.

As for regional differences, Trump鈥檚 popularity in New Mexico was highest in largely rural parts of the state, including northwest New Mexico and the state鈥檚 traditionally conservative east side, the Journal Poll found.

In contrast, only 26% of voters in the Albuquerque metro area said they approved of Trump鈥檚 job performance, while 69% said they disapproved. 

Those approval ratings were largely an inverse from voters鈥� views of outgoing New Mexico Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham, a Democrat who received higher marks from voters in urban areas than those in more rural parts of the state.

Methodology

The Journal Poll was conducted from Aug. 21 through Aug. 28. It is based on a statewide random sample of 516 voters who cast ballots in the 2022 and/or 2024 general elections, and a sample of adults who registered to vote since January 2025 and who said they are likely to vote in the upcoming election.

The total sample of 516 voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percentage points. The margin of error grows for subsamples.

The sample was stratified by race/ethnicity and county and weighted by party affiliation, gender and education level based on traditional voting patterns in New Mexico general elections, to ensure a more representative sample.

All interviews were conducted by live, professional interviewers based in Albuquerque, with multiple callbacks to households that did not initially answer the phone.

Both cellphone numbers (96%) and landlines (4%) of likely general election voters were used.

Dan Boyd covers state government and politics for the Journal in Santa Fe. Follow him on X at @DanBoydNM or reach him via email at dboyd@abqjournal.com.